Week 2 Monday Night Football we are treated with two games instead of the normal one. We have the Vikings traveling to Philadelphia and the Titans traveling to Buffalo. On a typical Monday or Thursday my go to bets is to bet pretty much any player prop I can get my hands on. Something about just getting to sit and watch one singular game rather than Red Zone bouncing around allows me to cheer more for a simple catch towards an over in receptions or a few yards by a QB to get his measly o3.5 yards. But today? Today my motto is K.I.S.S, the famous acronym for Keep It Simple Stupid. If my week 2 Sunday tells me anything, its that I am indeed stupid. (Shout out the Packers for winning me all my coin back, I don't think I hit a noon bet and afternoon games didn't go much better). What is the game plan to keep it simple you ask? While just a good Ole' Reliable teaser parlay. The Viking/Eagles game has had be go back and forth a winner too many times for me to touch that spread even teased so we went with a 3 leg parlay of the following:
Leg 1:
Bills -4
Yes, I know -10 is a lot considering the Bills have lost outright to the Titans their past two meetings and the teams are relatively identical to last year other than the Titans losing A.J Brown. But that one loss I think is more significant that some are leading on, as Brown simply led the Titans by more than double the yards of their #2 receiver in both those meetings, scoring a TD in the 2020 game. The Bills are a team that is Super Bowl win or bust, and arguably the best team in the league by a solid margin. I see this first half being close with the Titans being able to utilize the monster that is Derrick Henry, but by the second half the Bills will have a comfortable two score lead and the Titans will then have to turn to the pass and that's where the Bills will pounce. Ryan Tannehill simply put does NOT have what it takes to lead his team to beat the Bills. Cover 10? Maybe; however, I see it more likely the Titans lose by 17+ than I do the Bills winning by less than 4. First leg complete.
Leg 2:
Bills/Titans Under 54
As I stated above, the first half should be a close game. The Titans can run their normal game script of feed Henry until it doesn't work and then still feed him more. The Bills may come out a bit sluggish feeling confident at their home opener and off a blowout win against the previous Super Bowl Champs in the Rams. I think we see a 14-10 halftime score in favor of the Bills. Coming out of half, Sean McDermott will have his players back focused on the present and the Bills come out firing. Before you know it, it could get to 31-13 by the fourth and that's when the Bills will run out the clock and Tannehill will fall short of leading the Titans to any sort of offense. The Final 34-13, 47 total points and the Under 54 hitting for leg 2 complete.
Leg 3:
Vikings/Eagles Over 44.5
This is the leg that my confidence may be the lowest. At this point in Cousins career I think it is safe to say it's no coincidence and that he truly just stinks during Prime-time specifically on Monday Night. For those who don't know, Cousins boasts a 2-9 record on Monday Night's with his stats dropping a solid amount from his career averages. Cousins on MNF averages 63.7% Completion (Down from 66.9 Career), 241.3 Yards (Down from 260.9 Career), 1.5 TD's (Down from 1.8 Career) and 0.7 INT (His Career Average). This year though, the Vikings and Cousins have had higher hopes than recent years, and I see them coming out and trying to get Cousins in a groove early and keep Jefferson a big piece of their offense as he torched the Packers week 1. I see Cousins throwing 2 TD's at least and Cook running one in. Now add that to the Eagles who have built successfully around Hurts and Nick Sirianni seems to have this team bought in. Add A.J Brown to that mix with an elite DeVonta Smith as your #2 and this team has options all over. The Vikings bolstered their front 7 but Hurts running ability is able to buy him time to throw or scamper on his own. Both teams match up well against the others defense and I see this game going well over the set line of 50.5, making o44.5 a lock. The Final Eagles 31 - 27 Vikings and leg 3 complete.
Who needs 15 player prop bets when you have one mortal lock can't lose automatic 3 team teaser? Book it, 10 units. (For legal reasons I am not actually putting 10 units on this, but I wouldn't blame you if you did.). Lets Ride.
3 Legs - 2u - +150
........................................
Now since I admit to being stupid I have indeed bet some player props. They are listed below:
- Tannehill o31.5 attempts/Hurts o50.5 rush yards .5u +243
- DeVonta Smith o37 yards/Thielen o40 yards/Eagles ML .5u +143
- Bills -10/Bills u48 .5u +257
Comments